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Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
Article . 2007 . Peer-reviewed
License: Wiley Online Library User Agreement
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Simulation of ENSO forcings on U.S. drought by the HadCM3 coupled climate model

Authors: Busby, SJ; Briffa, KR; Osborn, TJ;

Simulation of ENSO forcings on U.S. drought by the HadCM3 coupled climate model

Abstract

The ability of the Hadley Centre Coupled Model, version 3 (HadCM3) ocean‐atmosphere general circulation model to represent the mechanisms linking the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and drought in the United States is investigated. Rotated principal components analyses of self‐calibrating Palmer drought severity index data are used to categorize the dominant modes of summer drought variability in the observed climate record (1901–2002) and in a 250‐year period of a HadCM3 control run. A similar mode of large‐scale drought variability is identified in both data sets that is correlated with ENSO variability: a monopolar pattern across the continental interior, centered over the southern states. HadCM3 successfully reproduces the displacement of the midlatitude jet streams during ENSO events, a mechanism related to U.S. drought variability, but the model appears to be less realistic in its simulation of the influence of Rossby wave teleconnections on drought, which is possibly due to limitations in its simulation of ENSO in the equatorial Pacific. Despite this we conclude that HadCM3's simulation of the link between ENSO and U.S. drought is sufficiently realistic for it to be used in further studies of U.S. drought variability.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
5
Average
Average
Average
bronze