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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
The Science of The Total Environment
Article . 2011 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
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Forecasting of daily air quality index in Delhi

Authors: Anikender, Kumar; P, Goyal;

Forecasting of daily air quality index in Delhi

Abstract

As the impact of air pollutants on human health through ambient air address much attention in recent years, the air quality forecasting in terms of air pollution parameters becomes an important topic in environmental science. The Air Quality Index (AQI) can be estimated through a formula, based on comprehensive assessment of concentration of air pollutants, which can be used by government agencies to characterize the status of air quality at a given location. The present study aims to develop forecasting model for predicting daily AQI, which can be used as a basis of decision making processes. Firstly, the AQI has been estimated through a method used by US Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) for different criteria pollutants as Respirable Suspended Particulate Matter (RSPM), Sulfur dioxide (SO2), Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and Suspended Particulate Matter (SPM). However, the sub-index and breakpoint concentrations in the formula are made according to Indian National Ambient Air Quality Standard. Secondly, the daily AQI for each season is forecasted through three statistical models namely time series auto regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) (model 1), principal component regression (PCR) (model 2) and combination of both (model 3) in Delhi. The performance of all three models are evaluated with the help of observed concentrations of pollutants, which reflects that model 3 agrees well with observed values, as compared to the values of model 1 and model 2. The same is supported by the statistical parameters also. The significance of meteorological parameters of model 3 has been assessed through principal component analysis (PCA), which indicates that daily rainfall, station level pressure, daily mean temperature, wind direction index are maximum explained in summer, monsoon, post-monsoon and winter respectively. Further, the variation of AQI during the weekends (holidays) and weekdays are found negligible. Therefore all the days of week are accounted same in the models.

Related Organizations
Keywords

Air Pollutants, Principal Component Analysis, Models, Statistical, Time Factors, Nitrogen Dioxide, India, Humans, Regression Analysis, Sulfur Dioxide, Particulate Matter, Seasons, Cities, Environmental Monitoring

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
134
Top 1%
Top 1%
Average
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