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The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance
Article . 2007 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
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HKU Scholars Hub
Article . 2012
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A semiparametric estimation of the optimal hedge ratio

Authors: Department of Economics, College of Business Administration, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611, United States ( host institution ); Ai, Chunrong; Chatrath, Arjun; Song, Frank;

A semiparametric estimation of the optimal hedge ratio

Abstract

Abstract Standard static hedging models employing futures contracts yield poor results for most commodities, especially when compared with the evidence for financial instruments such as stock indexes and currencies. Moreover, the efforts in the dynamic hedging of commodity prices via GARCH models have found limited success. In this paper, we propose an alternate approach for constructing the ‘optimal’ hedge ratio. The approach differs from previous methods in two respects. First, we incorporate controls for seasonals, time to maturity, inventories, and futures term-structure in the construction of hedge ratio. Second, we adopt a partially linear functional form for the hedge ratio. Employing data from the U.S. markets for corn, cotton, and soybeans, we find that our method substantially outperforms the static, semi-dynamic, and GARCH models.

Countries
China (People's Republic of), United States
Keywords

Commodities, Futures, Seasonal, 330, G13, Hedging, C14, Nonparametric, Q0

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
Green