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Statistical physics of vaccination

Authors: Wang, Zhen; Bauch, Chris T.; Bhattacharyya, Samit; d'Onofrio, Alberto; Manfredi, Piero; Perc, Matjaž; Perra, Nicola; +2 Authors

Statistical physics of vaccination

Abstract

Historically, infectious diseases caused considerable damage to human societies, and they continue to do so today. To help reduce their impact, mathematical models of disease transmission have been studied to help understand disease dynamics and inform prevention strategies. Vaccination - one of the most important preventive measures of modern times - is of great interest both theoretically and empirically. And in contrast to traditional approaches, recent research increasingly explores the pivotal implications of individual behavior and heterogeneous contact patterns in populations. Our report reviews the developmental arc of theoretical epidemiology with emphasis on vaccination, as it led from classical models assuming homogeneously mixing (mean-field) populations and ignoring human behavior, to recent models that account for behavioral feedback and/or population spatial/social structure. Many of the methods used originated in statistical physics, such as lattice and network models, and their associated analytical frameworks. Similarly, the feedback loop between vaccinating behavior and disease propagation forms a coupled nonlinear system with analogs in physics. We also review the new paradigm of digital epidemiology, wherein sources of digital data such as online social media are mined for high-resolution information on epidemiologically relevant individual behavior. Armed with the tools and concepts of statistical physics, and further assisted by new sources of digital data, models that capture nonlinear interactions between behavior and disease dynamics offer a novel way of modeling real-world phenomena, and can help improve health outcomes. We conclude the review by discussing open problems in the field and promising directions for future research.

150 pages, 42 figures; published in Physics Reports

Keywords

FOS: Computer and information sciences, Physics - Physics and Society, Applied Physic, Epidemiology, Human behavior, Complex networks, FOS: Physical sciences, Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph), homogeneously mixing, Statistics - Applications, RA0421, Mathematical Physic, Applications (stat.AP), Statistical Physic, Statistical Physics; Mathematical Physics; Applied Physics; Sociophysics; Mathematical Epidemiology; Theoretical Biophysics, Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution, Condensed Matter - Statistical Mechanics, Complex networks; Data; Epidemiology; Human behavior; Vaccination; Physics and Astronomy (all), Medical epidemiology, Social and Information Networks (cs.SI), Data, Statistical Mechanics (cond-mat.stat-mech), Vaccination, Populations and Evolution (q-bio.PE), Computer Science - Social and Information Networks, human behavior, complex networks, vaccination, Theoretical Biophysics, FOS: Biological sciences, Sociophysic, Mathematical Epidemiology

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    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    812
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 0.1%
    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
812
Top 0.1%
Top 1%
Top 0.01%
Green
hybrid