Modeling surveys effects in political competitions

descriptionPublicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Preprint 01 Aug 2018Embargo end date: 01 Jan 2017 Italy English Publisher:Elsevier BVJournal:Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, volume 503, pages 714-726 (issn: 0378-4371,

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Authors: Biondo, A. E.; Pluchino, A.; Rapisarda, A.;

doi: 10.1016/j.physa.2018.02.211 , 10.48550/arxiv.1711.02765

arXiv: 1711.02765

handle: 20.500.11769/326388

Modeling surveys effects in political competitions

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Abstract

In this paper we study the impact of news media and public surveys on the electoral campaigns for political competitions. We present an agent-based model that addresses the effective influence of surveys in orienting the opinions of voters before elections. The dynamics of electoral consensus is studied as a function of time by investigating different possible scenarios and the effect of periodic surveys, on the opinions of a small community of voters represented as a network of agents connected by realistic social relationships. Our simulations show the possibility to manage opinion consensus in electoral competitions.

21 pages, 9 figures

Country

Italy

Related Organizations

University of Catania
Italy
Complexity Science Hub Vienna
Austria

Keywords

Social and Information Networks (cs.SI), FOS: Computer and information sciences, Physics - Physics and Society, FOS: Physical sciences, Computer Science - Social and Information Networks, Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph), agent-based models, History, political science, surveys, Agent-based models; Elections; Opinion dynamics; Surveys; Statistics and Probability; Condensed Matter Physics, opinion dynamics, elections, Small world graphs, complex networks (graph-theoretic aspects), Social networks; opinion dynamics

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