
arXiv: 1603.00074
This study applies dynamical and statistical modeling techniques to quantify the proliferation and popularity of trending hashtags on Twitter. Using time-series data reflecting actual tweets in New York City and San Francisco, we present estimates for the dynamics (i.e., rates of infection and recovery) of several hundred trending hashtags using an epidemic modeling framework coupled with Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. This methodological strategy is an extension of techniques traditionally used to model the spread of infectious disease. We demonstrate that in some models, hashtags can be grouped by infectiousness, possibly providing a method for quantifying the trendiness of a topic.
Social and Information Networks (cs.SI), FOS: Computer and information sciences, Populations and Evolution (q-bio.PE), Computer Science - Social and Information Networks, Statistics - Applications, 91D30, 92B05, FOS: Biological sciences, Applications (stat.AP), Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution
Social and Information Networks (cs.SI), FOS: Computer and information sciences, Populations and Evolution (q-bio.PE), Computer Science - Social and Information Networks, Statistics - Applications, 91D30, 92B05, FOS: Biological sciences, Applications (stat.AP), Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 31 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Top 10% | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% |
