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Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Article . 2016 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
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zbMATH Open
Article . 2016
Data sources: zbMATH Open
https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2015
License: arXiv Non-Exclusive Distribution
Data sources: Datacite
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A fractional-order infectivity SIR model

Authors: Angstmann, CN; Henry, BI; McGann, AV;

A fractional-order infectivity SIR model

Abstract

Fractional-order SIR models have become increasingly popular in the literature in recent years, however unlike the standard SIR model, they often lack a derivation from an underlying stochastic process. Here we derive a fractional-order infectivity SIR model from a stochastic process that incorporates a time-since-infection dependence on the infectivity of individuals. The fractional derivative appears in the generalised master equations of a continuous time random walk through SIR compartments, with a power-law function in the infectivity. We show that this model can also be formulated as an infection-age structured Kermack-McKendrick integro-differential SIR model. Under the appropriate limit the fractional infectivity model reduces to the standard ordinary differential equation SIR model.

16 pages, no figures

Country
Australia
Related Organizations
Keywords

570, anzsrc-for: 4901 Applied mathematics, 330, anzsrc-for: 4902 Mathematical physics, Epidemiology, fractional order differential equations, continuous time random walk, Fractional ordinary differential equations, Dynamical Systems (math.DS), 92D30, 26A33, 34A08, SIR models, 4903 Numerical and Computational Mathematics, FOS: Mathematics, Mathematics - Dynamical Systems, Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution, epidemiological models, anzsrc-for: 4903 Numerical and Computational Mathematics, Populations and Evolution (q-bio.PE), anzsrc-for: 4905 Statistics, 4905 Statistics, anzsrc-for: 49 Mathematical Sciences, anzsrc-for: 0206 Quantum Physics, FOS: Biological sciences, 49 Mathematical Sciences, anzsrc-for: 0105 Mathematical Physics, anzsrc-for: 0102 Applied Mathematics

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
90
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
bronze