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Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Article . 2007 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2006
License: arXiv Non-Exclusive Distribution
Data sources: Datacite
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Hitting time distributions in financial markets

Authors: Davide Valenti; Bernardo Spagnolo; Giovanni Bonanno;

Hitting time distributions in financial markets

Abstract

We analyze the hitting time distributions of stock price returns in different time windows, characterized by different levels of noise present in the market. The study has been performed on two sets of data from US markets. The first one is composed by daily price of 1071 stocks trade for the 12-year period 1987-1998, the second one is composed by high frequency data for 100 stocks for the 4-year period 1995-1998. We compare the probability distribution obtained by our empirical analysis with those obtained from different models for stock market evolution. Specifically by focusing on the statistical properties of the hitting times to reach a barrier or a given threshold, we compare the probability density function (PDF) of three models, namely the geometric Brownian motion, the GARCH model and the Heston model with that obtained from real market data. We will present also some results of a generalized Heston model.

14 pages, 6 figures, submitted to EPJ B

Related Organizations
Keywords

Physics - Physics and Society, Statistical Finance (q-fin.ST), Econophysics, Stock market model, Quantitative Finance - Statistical Finance, FOS: Physical sciences, Complex Systems, Physics and Society (physics.soc-ph), Econophysics; Stock market model; Langevin-type equation; Heston model; Complex Systems, Langevin-type equation, Heston model, Settore FIS/07 - Fisica Applicata(Beni Culturali, Ambientali, Biol.e Medicin), FOS: Economics and business, Physics - Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability, Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability (physics.data-an)

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
92
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
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bronze
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