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Journal of Safety Research
Article . 2005 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
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Identifying crash propensity using specific traffic speed conditions

Authors: Abdel-Aty, Mohamed; Pande, Anurag;

Identifying crash propensity using specific traffic speed conditions

Abstract

In spite of recent advances in traffic surveillance technology and ever-growing concern over traffic safety, there have been very few research efforts establishing links between real-time traffic flow parameters and crash occurrence. This study aims at identifying patterns in the freeway loop detector data that potentially precede traffic crashes.The proposed solution essentially involves classification of traffic speed patterns emerging from the loop detector data. Historical crash and loop detector data from the Interstate-4 corridor in the Orlando metropolitan area were used for this study. Traffic speed data from sensors embedded in the pavement (i.e., loop detector stations) to measure characteristics of the traffic flow were collected for both crash and non-crash conditions. Bayesian classifier based methodology, probabilistic neural network (PNN), was then used to classify these data as belonging to either crashes or non-crashes. PNN is a neural network implementation of well-known Bayesian-Parzen classifier. With its superb mathematical credentials, the PNN trains much faster than multilayer feed forward networks. The inputs to final classification model, selected from various candidate models, were logarithms of the coefficient of variation in speed obtained from three stations, namely, station of the crash (i.e., station nearest to the crash location) and two stations immediately preceding it in the upstream direction (measured in 5 minute time slices of 10-15 minutes prior to the crash time).The results showed that at least 70% of the crashes on the evaluation dataset could be identified using the classifiers developed in this paper.

Country
United States
Keywords

Civil and Environmental Engineering, probabilistic neural, Automobile Driving, Crash prediction, Transportation, traffic speed, Environmental & Occupational Health, Probabilistic Neural Networks, Social, Sciences, Interdisciplinary, Traffic speed, Freeway crashes, Probability, crash prediction, loop detectors, Accidents, Traffic, freeway crashes, Public, United States, 620, networks, Ergonomics, Loop detectors

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    168
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    Top 10%
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
168
Top 1%
Top 1%
Top 10%
bronze