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What can we tell about monetary policy synchronization and interdependence over the 2007–2009 global financial crisis?

Authors: Arouri, Mohamed El Hedi; Nguyen, Duc Khuong; Jawadi, Fredj;

What can we tell about monetary policy synchronization and interdependence over the 2007–2009 global financial crisis?

Abstract

We investigate the synchronization and nonlinear adjustment dynamics of short-term interest rates for France, the UK and the US using the bi-directional feedback measures proposed by Geweke (1982) and appropriate smooth transition error-correction models (STECM). We find evidence to support the increasing synchronization of these rates over the period 2005–2009 as well as of their lead–lag causal interactions. Moreover, short-term interest rates converge towards a common long-run equilibrium in a nonlinear manner and their time dynamics exhibit regime-switching behavior. As far as the underlying types of monetary policies conducted by the world’s leading central banks are concerned, our empirical evidence thus reveals strong interdependence, but only some degree of synchronization.

Country
France
Keywords

STECM, [QFIN.CP] Quantitative Finance [q-fin]/Computational Finance [q-fin.CP], E.E4.E40 - General, C.C5.C52 - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection, Monetary policy, G.G0.G01 - Financial Crises, Feedback measure, [SHS.ECO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance, E.E5.E52 - Monetary Policy, Short-term interest rates

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    13
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    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
13
Top 10%
Top 10%
Average
bronze