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Journal of Financial Economics
Article . 2009 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
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Risk, uncertainty, and asset prices

Authors: Geert Bekaert; Eric Engstrom; Yuhang Xing;

Risk, uncertainty, and asset prices

Abstract

We identify the relative importance of changes in the conditional variance of fundamentals (which we call 'uncertainty') and changes in risk aversion ('risk' for short) in the determination of the term structure, equity prices, and risk premiums. Theoretically, we introduce persistent time-varying uncertainty about the fundamentals in an external habit model. The model matches the dynamics of dividend and consumption growth, including their volatility dynamics and many salient asset market phenomena. While the variation in dividend yields and the equity risk premium is primarily driven by risk, uncertainty plays a large role in the term structure and is the driver of counter-cyclical volatility of asset returns.

Keywords

equity premium; excess volatility; external habit; stochastic risk aversion; term structure; time variation in risk and return; uncertainty, Asset pricing ; Risk ; Uncertainty, jel: jel:G15, jel: jel:E44, jel: jel:G12

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
276
Top 1%
Top 1%
Top 10%
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