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Journal of Economic Theory
Article . 2013 . Peer-reviewed
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Article . 2013
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Research . 2012
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Gambling in contests

Authors: Christian Seel; Philipp Strack;

Gambling in contests

Abstract

This paper presents a strategic model of risk-taking behavior in contests. Formally, we analyze an n-player winner-take-all contest in which each player decides when to stop a privately observed Brownian Motion with drift. A player whose process reaches zero has to stop. The player with the highest stopping point wins. Contrary to the explicit cost for a higher stopping time in a war of attrition, here, higher stopping times are riskier, because players can go bankrupt. We derive a closed-form solution of the unique Nash equilibrium outcome of the game. In equilibrium, the trade-off between risk and reward causes a non-monotonicity: highest expected losses occur if the process decreases only slightly in expectation.

Countries
Germany, Netherlands
Keywords

Probabilistic games; gambling, Stopping times; optimal stopping problems; gambling theory, Test, 330, Glücksspiel, risk-taking behavior, \(n\)-person games, \(n>2\), contests, Auctions, bargaining, bidding and selling, and other market models, C72, C73, Discontinuous games, Relative performance pay, Applications of Brownian motions and diffusion theory (population genetics, absorption problems, etc.), relative performance pay, ddc:330, Risktaking behavior, discontinuous games, Discontinuous games; Contests; Relative performance pay; Risktaking behavior, D81, Entscheidung bei Risiko, Contests, Nichtkooperatives Spiel, jel: jel:D81, jel: jel:C72, jel: jel:C73

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    41
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
41
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
hybrid