Abstract Severe slugging is a dynamic two-phase flow phenomenon with regular liquid accumulation and blow-out in flow-line riser geometries. This paper discusses the applicability of a slug tracking model on a case where hydrodynamic slug initiation in a horizontal part of the pipeline upstream the riser base affects the severe slugging cycle period. The given experimental case is from the Shell laboratories in Amsterdam: air–water flow in a 100 m long pipe (65 m horizontal and 35 m −2.54° downwards) followed by a 15 m long vertical riser. A Lagrangian slug and bubble tracking model is described. A two-fluid model is applied in the bubble region and the slug region is treated as incompressible flow, with an integral momentum equation. Slug initiation from unstable stratified flow can be captured directly by solving the two-fluid model on a fine grid (a hybrid capturing and tracking scheme). Alternatively, slug initiation can be made from sub grid models, allowing for larger grid sizes. The sub grid models are based on the two established flow regime transition criteria derived from the stability of stratified flow and from the limiting solution of the unit cell slug flow model. Sensitivity studies on hydrodynamic slug initiation models on the severe slugging characteristics are presented. No hydrodynamic slug initiation (e.g. large grid size in the capturing scheme) overestimates the severe slug period compared with the experiments. Slug capturing and sub grid initiation models both give good predictions for small grid sizes (provided the detailed inlet configuration is included in the capturing case). Good predictions are also shown for larger grid sizes (factor of 50) and sub grid initiation models. The numerical tests show that correct prediction of the severe slugging cycle is sensitive to the initiation of upstream hydrodynamic slugs, but less sensitive to the local structure of the slug flow (frequencies and lengths) in the upstream region.