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Finance Research Letters
Article . 2016 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY NC ND
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Finance Research Letters
Article
License: CC BY NC ND
Data sources: UnpayWall
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Finance Research Letters
Article . 2016
License: CC BY NC ND
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Credit-implied forward volatility and volatility expectations

Authors: Byström, Hans;

Credit-implied forward volatility and volatility expectations

Abstract

AbstractWe show how one can back out implied forward volatility term structures from credit default swap spreads. Such forward stock volatility term structures are useful for instance in forward start option pricing. We find the term structure to be downward-sloping, and the credit market's volatility forecasts tend to vary more across time than across maturities. Long-term volatility expectations, in turn, are found to be low and stable while short-term expectations are higher and more volatile. The volatility expectation's mean-reversion rate, finally, indicates that the credit market expects volatility shocks in the equity market to last for several years.

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Keywords

ddc:330, Implied volatility term structure, forward start options, Forward start options, G10, forward volatility, G01, implied volatility term structure, CDS, Forward volatility, Finance

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
hybrid