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Energy Procedia
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Energy Procedia
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Energy Procedia
Article . 2011
License: CC BY NC ND
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Sectoral Fluctuations and Macro-economic Fluctuation: Based on Input-Output Matrix

Authors: Juan, ZHAO;

Sectoral Fluctuations and Macro-economic Fluctuation: Based on Input-Output Matrix

Abstract

AbstractThis paper establishes a bivariate VAR model in sectoral level. Using a weighted matrix from an input -output table, we model an economic system which reflects the interdependence of all the sectors. During empirical analysis, we estimate the VAR model for 17 Chinese sectors in the sample period from 1985 to 2008. Generalized impulse response function is used to analyze the dynamic effects of real output growth and fixed asset investment growth. The results show that Chinese economic system has diversity and no any industry has absolute dominance in the system. To some extent, the economic growth in China is pulled by investment on short term. We also find that when the real output of Manufacture of Machinery and Equipment is given one negative shock, the volatility of the economic system mainly comes from the manufacturing industries. If the authorities take policy to stimulate the production, it's possible to aggravate the fluctuation in the adjustment process of economic system. The economy will be short -term overheating.

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Keywords

Input-Output, Energy(all), Generalized Impulse Response Function, VAR

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
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