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Economic Modelling
Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
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Article . 2022
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https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ar...
Article . 2022
License: arXiv Non-Exclusive Distribution
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Bootstrap cointegration tests in ARDL models

Authors: Bertelli S.; Vacca G.; Zoia M.;

Bootstrap cointegration tests in ARDL models

Abstract

The paper proposes a new bootstrap approach to the Pesaran, Shin and Smith's bound tests in a conditional equilibrium correction model with the aim to overcome some typical drawbacks of the latter, such as inconclusive inference and distortion in size. The bootstrap tests are worked out under several data generating processes, including degenerate cases. Monte Carlo simulations confirm the better performance of the bootstrap tests with respect to bound ones and to the asymptotic F test on the independent variables of the ARDL model. It is also proved that any inference carried out in misspecified models, such as unconditional ARDLs, may be misleading. Empirical applications highlight the importance of employing the appropriate specification and provide definitive answers to the inconclusive inference of the bound tests when exploring the long-term equilibrium relationship between economic variables.

Country
Italy
Keywords

FOS: Economics and business, Bound test, Econometrics (econ.EM), Autoregressive distributed lag model, Autoregressive distributed lag model; Bootstrap; Bound test; Cointegration; Error-correction model;, Bootstrap, Cointegration Error-correction model, Economics - Econometrics

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    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
15
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green