
We use a representative online survey to investigate the inflation expectations of German consumers and the credibility of the ECB’s inflation target during the recent high inflation period. We find that credibility has trended downwards since summer 2021, reaching an all-time low in April 2022. The high correlation between inflation expectations and the actual rate of inflation strongly indicate that inflation expectations have been de-anchored from the inflation target. With increasing inflation, German consumers are more convinced that - in contrast to the ECB’s inflation target - inflation will be well above 2% over the medium term.
Credibility of Inflation Targets, C83, Expectation Formation, 330, ddc:330, 300 Sozialwissenschaften::330 Wirtschaft::330 Wirtschaft, Household Inflation Expectations, E58, E52, E31
Credibility of Inflation Targets, C83, Expectation Formation, 330, ddc:330, 300 Sozialwissenschaften::330 Wirtschaft::330 Wirtschaft, Household Inflation Expectations, E58, E52, E31
| citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 11 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Average | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Top 10% |
