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Borsa Istanbul Review
Article . 2016
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Testing for martingale difference hypothesis with structural breaks: Evidence from Asia–Pacific foreign exchange markets

Authors: Afees A. Salisu; Tirimisiyu F. Oloko; Oluwatomisin J. Oyewole;

Testing for martingale difference hypothesis with structural breaks: Evidence from Asia–Pacific foreign exchange markets

Abstract

AbstractThis study tests for martingale difference hypothesis (MDH) in nine selected Foreign Exchange (FX) markets from Asia–Pacific countries. Its main contributions to the literature include: (i) it adopts recent techniques in both the Autocorrelation based and Spectrum based tests for MDH, namely; the Wild Bootstrap Automatic Variance Ratio test by Kim (2009) and the Wild Bootstrap Generalized Spectral test by Escanciano and Velasco (2006); (ii) it determines structural breaks endogenously for all the returns series using Perron (2006) unit root test with structural break, and (iii) based on the Perron results, it obtains two sub-samples and thereafter tests for MDH. Empirical result from this study shows that FX market efficiency could be inconsistent over time due to changes in policies and events. Thus, a preliminary test for the presence significant structural break may be necessary when testing for MDH.

Keywords

FX market, HG1-9999, Martingale difference hypothesis (MDH), Structural breaks, Finance, Asia–Pacific

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
9
Top 10%
Average
Average
gold