
handle: 10419/271857
This paper examines the main drawbacks of technical analysis. Although this is widely used by practitioners, from an academic perspective it can only be seen as a form of "voodoo finance". In particular, it runs into the following pitfalls: Subjectivity; Doubtful assumptions; Unjustified algorithms; Low profitability; Data snooping; Statistically insignificant results; Unrealistic simplifications. The key conclusion is that it is high time that (self-fulfilling) technical analysis be replaced by more sophisticated time-series forecasting methods and models such as fractional integration, R/S analysis and autoregressive specifications .
330, C63, D84, ddc:330, E37, data snooping, price forecasting, financial markets, G12, trading, technical analysis
330, C63, D84, ddc:330, E37, data snooping, price forecasting, financial markets, G12, trading, technical analysis
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