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To retrospectively evaluate risk factors for aggravation of esophageal varices (EV) within 1 year after balloon-occluded retrograde transvenous obliteration (B-RTO) of gastric varices (GV) and to clarify suitable timing for upper endoscopy to detect EV aggravation after B-RTO.Participants included 67 patients who underwent B-RTO for GV between January 2006 and December 2010. Whether EV aggravation occurred within 1 year was evaluated, and the time interval from B-RTO to aggravation was calculated. Factors potentially associated with EV aggravation were analyzed.B-RTO was successfully performed in all patients. EV aggravation at 1 year after B-RTO was found in 38 patients (56.7 %). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that total bilirubin (T-bil) (P = 0.032) and hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) (P = 0.011) were significant independent risk factors for EV aggravation after B-RTO. Cutoff values of T-bil and HVPG yielding maximal combined sensitivity and specificity for EV aggravation were 1.6 mg/dL and 13 mmHg, respectively. The patients with T-bil ≥ 1.6 mg/dL or HVPG ≥ 13 mmHg had a median aggravation time of 5.1 months. All five patients with ruptured EV belonged to this group. In contrast, patients with T-bil < 1.6 mg/dL and HVPG < 13 mmHg had a median aggravation time of 21 months.T-bil and HVPG were significant independent risk factors for EV aggravation after B-RTO. The patients with T-bil ≥ 1.6 mg/dL or HVPG ≥ 13 mmHg require careful follow-up evaluation, including endoscopy.
Adult, Aged, 80 and over, Male, Time Factors, Bilirubin, Endoscopy, Balloon Occlusion, Middle Aged, Esophageal and Gastric Varices, Gastrointestinal Tract, Treatment Outcome, Radiology Nuclear Medicine and imaging, Recurrence, Risk Factors, Humans, Female, Clinical Investigation, Ultrasonography, Doppler, Color, Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine, Tomography, X-Ray Computed, Aged, Follow-Up Studies, Retrospective Studies
Adult, Aged, 80 and over, Male, Time Factors, Bilirubin, Endoscopy, Balloon Occlusion, Middle Aged, Esophageal and Gastric Varices, Gastrointestinal Tract, Treatment Outcome, Radiology Nuclear Medicine and imaging, Recurrence, Risk Factors, Humans, Female, Clinical Investigation, Ultrasonography, Doppler, Color, Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine, Tomography, X-Ray Computed, Aged, Follow-Up Studies, Retrospective Studies
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