Prognostic models in the clinical arena
Copyright policy )Prognostic models in the clinical arena
Making a prognosis is to predict the course of a disease and estimate the probability (or risk) of the appearance of a given outcome in relationship to clinical or non-clinical characteristics. Prognostic assessment is usually modelled by multivariable mathematic equations (prognostic models). In this article we describe what a prognostic model is, how to build a good one, why and how it is important to evaluate its generalizability and accuracy by means of discrimination, calibration and reclassification.
- National Research Council Italy
- Erasmus University Rotterdam Netherlands
Risk, Models, Statistical, Prognostic models, reclassification, Reclassification, calibration, Prognosis, prognostic models, Discrimination, Calibration, Humans, EMC OR-01-39-08, discrimination, Probability
Risk, Models, Statistical, Prognostic models, reclassification, Reclassification, calibration, Prognosis, prognostic models, Discrimination, Calibration, Humans, EMC OR-01-39-08, discrimination, Probability
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