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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Solar Physicsarrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
Solar Physics
Article . 1990 . Peer-reviewed
License: Springer TDM
Data sources: Crossref
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On the average rate of growth in sunspot number and the size of the sunspot cycle

Authors: Robert M. Wilson;

On the average rate of growth in sunspot number and the size of the sunspot cycle

Abstract

The average rate of growth in sunspot number over selected time intervals and the maximum average value as they both relate to the size of the cycle are examined, in order to predict the size of cycle 22. The predictions are compared with those of Wilson (1990) to determine whether a consensus is apparent. The average rate of growth during the ascending portion of the sunspot cycle, defined as the difference in smoothed sunspot number values between elapsed time t and sunspot minimum divided by t, is shown to correlate with the size of the sunspot cycle, especially for t greater or equal to 18 months. The maximum value of the average rate of growth is also shown to highly correlate (r = 0.98) with the size of the cycle. Using 4.5 as the maximum value of the average rate of growth, a lower limit for R(M) is estimated. The results show that the findings are consistent with the previous single variate predictions for R(M) for cycle 22.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
10
Average
Top 10%
Average
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