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A Case for a Longitudinal Study

Authors: Carl-Gunnar Janson;

A Case for a Longitudinal Study

Abstract

Recently, Michael Gottfredson and Travis Hirschi have dismissed longitudinal studies in criminology as pointless and unduly expensive. They state their case in quite general terms but have a narrow and unusual definition of longitudinal studies. Their arguments refer to one type of such studies, i.e., the protracted prospective study with data collected in waves, whereas their preferred alternative, the “cross-sectional survey” can include another type, the retrospective study with retrospective data. After a discussion of the extent to which individual-level change can be empirically analyzed with repeated cross-sectional data in the strict sense, it is concluded that such data permit only inefficient or highly special analysis. Gottfredson’s and Hirschi’s own general theory of crime claims differential constancies for basic variables. It is found that an empirical test of this central part of their theory cannot be made on the basis of a cross-sectional survey but requires a protracted prospective longitudinal study.

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
34
Average
Average
Average
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