
Business confidence indicators are widely used leading indicators of economic activity. A large international literature has also investigated the potential role of low confidence in shaping economic outcomes. It is therefore important to measure business confidence as accurately as possible. The authors use the microdata from the BER’s business tendency surveys to create new composite indicators of business confidence for South Africa. The indicators are refined by incorporating more survey information and applying a consistent weighting procedure. The authors demonstrate a significant positive relationship between confidence and real economic activity, the consistent timing of this relationship, and that it remains significant after taking other variables into account. The confidence indicators therefore contain useful information about current and future economic developments.
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 1 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Average | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Average | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Average |
