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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Sustainable Developm...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
Sustainable Development
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
License: Wiley Online Library User Agreement
Data sources: Crossref
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Natural Resources Rent Dependency and Macroeconomic Instability in Africa

Authors: Jean‐Claude Mousseuknadji Kouladoum; Médard Mengue Bidzo; Emmanuel le Roi Nso Fils; Larrya Guibinga Kossi Essova;

Natural Resources Rent Dependency and Macroeconomic Instability in Africa

Abstract

ABSTRACT Macroeconomic instability remains a persistent challenge in Africa, often exacerbated by the volatility of natural resource revenues. While the relationship between resource rents and instability is underexplored and often limited to a few dimensions, this study provides a more comprehensive analysis by investigating the effect of natural resource rents on macroeconomic instability across the continent. It employs the two‐step system GMM strategy to control for potential endogeneity in the macroeconomic model across 54 African countries over the periods 2000–2022. Macroeconomic instability is proxied by a composite score that encompasses macroeconomic shock components of inflation rate fluctuations, exchange rate fluctuations, interest rate fluctuations, and unemployment rates. Natural resource rents are measured as a percentage of GDP, and it integrates forest rents, coal, oil, mineral, and natural gas rents. From the estimated model, the findings reveal a dual impact of natural resource rents on macroeconomic instability, characterized by a negative linear relationship (stabilizing impact) and an increasing non‐linear impact (destabilizing impact) on macroeconomic instability. This pattern is consistent across different macroeconomic dimensions, including labour, financial, goods and services, and foreign exchange markets. Additional robustness tests using disaggregated indicators and resource types confirm the asymmetric effects, showing that the benefits of resource rents are not evenly distributed across sectors. The findings underscore the need for policymakers in Africa and other developing countries to adopt strategies that limit overreliance on resource rents and promote economic diversification. These insights are especially useful for governments and development institutions aiming to enhance macroeconomic stability in resource‐dependent economies.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
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