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New Zealand Journal of Agricultural Research
Article . 2026 . Peer-reviewed
License: Wiley Online Library User Agreement
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Uncertainty Analysis of Enteric Fermentation Emissions From Beef Cattle in Argentina

Authors: Said. A; F. Estellés; G. Jaurena; P. A. Cipriotti;

Uncertainty Analysis of Enteric Fermentation Emissions From Beef Cattle in Argentina

Abstract

Methane emissions from enteric fermentation in beef cattle are a major source of greenhouse gases in Argentina, contributing notably to the country's total emissions. Quantifying these emissions is challenging and involves considerable uncertainty. This study aimed to quantify the uncertainty in methane emission estimates and to assess the contribution of key input variables to this uncertainty. Methane emissions were estimated following Argentina's national inventory methodology, using a tier 2 approach based on the 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories. Monte Carlo simulations were applied to incorporate uncertainty in inputs, generating 10,000 iterations to estimate emissions and assess their variability at a 95% confidence level. For 2020, mean methane emissions were estimated at 46.6 MtCO 2 e, with a 95% confidence interval of 37.9–54.5 MtCO 2 e, corresponding to an uncertainty of −17%; +19%. Feed digestibility was the largest contributor to emissions uncertainty, accounting for 41%, followed by the methane conversion factor, contributing 19%. When both variables were fixed, the uncertainty decreased to −2%; +3% with a confidence interval of 44.7–47.1 MtCO 2 e. Improving the accuracy of feed digestibility and methane conversion factor estimates is essential to reduce uncertainty and enhance the reliability of national greenhouse gas inventories.

Country
Spain
Keywords

Feed digestibility, Tier 2, National greenhouse gas inventories, Methane

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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