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Panel data nowcasting: The case of price–earnings ratios

The Case of Price–earnings Ratios
Authors: Babii, Andrii; Ball, Ryan T.; Ghysels, Eric; Striaukas, Jonas;

Panel data nowcasting: The case of price–earnings ratios

Abstract

AbstractThe paper uses structured machine learning regressions for nowcasting with panel data consisting of series sampled at different frequencies. Motivated by the problem of predicting corporate earnings for a large cross‐section of firms with macroeconomic, financial, and news time series sampled at different frequencies, we focus on the sparse‐group LASSO regularization which can take advantage of the mixed‐frequency time series panel data structures. Our empirical results show the superior performance of our machine learning panel data regression models over analysts' predictions, forecast combinations, firm‐specific time series regression models, and standard machine learning methods.

Country
Denmark
Keywords

FOS: Computer and information sciences, Textual news data, Sparse-group LASSO, Econometrics (econ.EM), Machine Learning (stat.ML), Mixed-frequency data, Statistics - Applications, Statistics - Computation, FOS: Economics and business, Statistics - Machine Learning, Corporate earnings, Applications (stat.AP), Nowcasting, High-dimensional panels, Computation (stat.CO), Economics - Econometrics

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
7
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
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