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Journal of Applied Econometrics
Article . 2016 . Peer-reviewed
License: Wiley Online Library User Agreement
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Skewness Risk and Bond Prices

Authors: Francisco Ruge-Murcia;

Skewness Risk and Bond Prices

Abstract

SummaryThis paper uses extreme value theory to study the implications of skewness risk for nominal loan contracts in a production economy. Productivity and inflation innovations are drawn from generalized extreme value distributions. The model is solved using a third‐order perturbation and estimated by the simulated method of moments. Results show that the data reject the hypothesis that innovations are drawn from normal distributions and favor instead the alternative that they are drawn from asymmetric distributions. Estimates indicate that skewness risk accounts for 12% of the risk premia and reduces bond yields by approximately 55 basis points. For a bond that pays 1 dollar at maturity, the adjustment factor associated with skewness risk ranges from 0.15 cents for a 3‐month bond to 2.05 cents for a 5‐year bond. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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Canada
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Keywords

Simulated method of moments, Term structure of interest rates; bond premia, nonlinear dynamic models; simulated method of moments., Term structure of interest rates; bond premia, nonlinear dynamic models; simulated method of moments, Bond premia, Nonlinear dynamic models, Term structure of interest rates, jel: jel:E43, jel: jel:G12

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
8
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green
bronze