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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Intelligent Systems ...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
Intelligent Systems in Accounting Finance and Management
Article . 2007 . Peer-reviewed
License: Wiley Online Library User Agreement
Data sources: Crossref
DBLP
Article . 2007
Data sources: DBLP
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Neural network volatility forecasts

Authors: José R. Aragonés; Carlos Blanco 0003; Pablo García Estévez;

Neural network volatility forecasts

Abstract

AbstractWe analyse whether the use of neural networks can improve ‘traditional’ volatility forecasts from time‐series models, as well as implied volatilities obtained from options on futures on the Spanish stock market index, the IBEX‐35.One of our main contributions is to explore the predictive ability of neural networks that incorporate both implied volatility information and historical time‐series information.Our results show that the general regression neural network forecasts improve the information content of implied volatilities and enhance the predictive ability of the models. Our analysis is also consistent with the results from prior research studies showing that implied volatility is an unbiased forecast of future volatility and that time‐series models have lower explanatory power than implied volatility. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
11
Average
Top 10%
Average
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