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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Journal of Futures M...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
Journal of Futures Markets
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
License: Wiley Online Library User Agreement
Data sources: Crossref
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Commodity Price Crash Risk and Crash Risk Contagion

Authors: Prachi Jain; Debasish Maitra;

Commodity Price Crash Risk and Crash Risk Contagion

Abstract

ABSTRACTIn this study, we propose measures for the risk of commodity price crash. Building on the recent phenomenon of financialization of commodities, we advocate the use of down‐to‐up volatility (DUVOL) and a negative coefficient of skewness (NCSKEW) using 1‐min and daily data, respectively. We find that the crash risk is the highest for natural gas, sugar, and coffee and remains low to moderate for most precious metals. Subsequently, we explore the commodity‐specific drivers of crash risk upon controlling for macro‐economic variations. We find that speculation and hedging pressure exacerbate the crash risk of most commodities, whereas basis risk alleviates the crash risk of commodities. We document that crash risk is priced in the cross‐section of commodity returns. We also find that the crash risk spillovers are asymmetric, remaining low at 33% at the median and peaking at approximately 88% during the extremities.

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    popularity
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    influence
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Top 10%
Average
Average
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