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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Journal of Forecasti...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
Journal of Forecasting
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
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Bayesian Semiparametric Multivariate Realized GARCH Modeling

Authors: Efthimios Nikolakopoulos;

Bayesian Semiparametric Multivariate Realized GARCH Modeling

Abstract

ABSTRACTThis paper introduces a novel Bayesian semiparametric multivariate GARCH framework for modeling returns and realized covariance, as well as approximating their joint unknown conditional density. We extend existing parametric multivariate realized GARCH models by incorporating a Dirichlet process mixture of countably infinite normal distributions for returns and (inverse‐)Wishart distributions for realized covariance. This approach captures time‐varying dynamics in higher order conditional moments of both returns and realized covariance. Our new class of models demonstrates superior out‐of‐sample forecasting performance, providing significantly improved multiperiod density forecasts for returns and realized covariance, as well as competitive covariance point forecasts.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
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