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Ecosphere
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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Ecosphere
Article . 2023
Data sources: DOAJ
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Range‐wide occupancy trends for the Mojave desert tortoise (Gopherus agassizii)

Authors: Amanda M. Kissel; Bryan Wallace; Jesse Anderson; Brett G. Dickson; Kristen Van Neste; Vincent Landau; Roy C. Averill‐Murray; +2 Authors

Range‐wide occupancy trends for the Mojave desert tortoise (Gopherus agassizii)

Abstract

AbstractData from long‐term monitoring programs, such as the US Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) line distance sampling (LDS) program for Mojave desert tortoises (Gopherus agassizii), are increasingly being used in new ways to elucidate trends in population dynamics. We used the USFWS LDS data in a novel way to generate range‐wide predictions of occupancy, colonization, and local extinction rates from 2001 to 2018. We developed a dynamic occupancy model to answer fundamental questions posed by Bureau of Land Management personnel regarding how G. agassizii are distributed across the landscape over space and time. We transformed the LDS data into detection/nondetection data and constructed a Bayesian dynamic occupancy model using several time‐varying (e.g., temperature, precipitation, normalized difference vegetation index, fire, and a proxy for invasive grasses) and static covariates (e.g., soil properties, topography, distance to roads, distance to urban areas) hypothesized to influence G. agassizii occupancy dynamics. We estimated that over the entire time series (2001–2018) the probability of G. agassizii occupancy is declining in over one quarter (26%) of the range, largely in the northeastern part of the range, but that from 2011 to 2018, 77% of the range has a declining trend. Drawing on these model outputs, we developed an interactive, web‐based tool for exploring trends in dynamic occupancy across the species range, allowing users to focus on areas of management interest or concern.

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Keywords

colonization probability, management tools, Ecology, extinction probability, Gopherus agassizii, dynamic occupancy, Bayesian modeling, QH540-549.5

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
8
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
gold