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Atmospheric Science Letters
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
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Atmospheric Science Letters
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Atmospheric Science Letters
Article . 2020
Data sources: DOAJ
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Impacts of terminal velocity on precipitation prediction and the error representation of terminal velocity in ensemble forecasts

Authors: Shizhang Wang; Xiaoshi Qiao;

Impacts of terminal velocity on precipitation prediction and the error representation of terminal velocity in ensemble forecasts

Abstract

AbstractImpacts of terminal velocities (rainwater, snow, and hail) on precipitation and the representation of terminal velocity uncertainty in ensemble forecasts were discussed in several idealized scenarios differing in intercept parameters and environmental soundings. In this idealized case, the precipitation maximum and cold pool were sensitive to the rainwater terminal velocity, while the precipitation coverage was sensitive to terminal velocities of ice‐species. Although precipitation maximum approximately increased with terminal velocity, pronouncedly large terminal velocity may form a cold pool too weak for precipitation system development. The main finding for ensemble forecasts is that allowing for terminal velocity uncertainty in ensemble forecasts could benefit the precipitation forecast skill; using perturbations based on the terminal velocity bias of each species improved the forecast skill in more scenarios than using the same perturbation for all species.

Related Organizations
Keywords

Meteorology. Climatology, terminal velocity, QC851-999, uncertainty, ensemble forecasts

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
4
Top 10%
Average
Average
gold