
[TR] Bir ceyrege iliskin milli gelir verileri gecikmeyle yayimlandigindan buyumeye iliskin zamanli tahmin uretme onem kazanmaktadir. Bu calismada, dinamik faktor modeli yontemi ile reel veriler ve anket gostergelerinden yararlanarak Turkiye ekonomisi icin donemlik milli gelir buyumesine iliskin tahminler elde edilmektedir. PMI ve IYA gibi anket gostergelerinin kullanilmasi ceyrek bitmeden yapilan tahminlerde kayda deger iyilesme saglamaktadir. [ER] GDP figures for a quarter are published with considerable delay. This increases the importance of producing timely forecasts for GDP growth. In this note, we forecast quarter-on-quarter GDP growth rate for Turkish economy using hard and soft data in a dynamic factor model. Using PMI and BTS indicators bring significant improvement in nowcasting performance.
| selected citations These citations are derived from selected sources. This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | 0 | |
| popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network. | Average | |
| influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically). | Average | |
| impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network. | Average |
