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Интеграция подхода «Затраты - выпуск» в агент-ориентированное моделирование. Часть 1. Методологические основы

Интеграция подхода «Затраты - выпуск» в агент-ориентированное моделирование. Часть 1. Методологические основы

Abstract

The article presents a comparison of the Agent-Based Multiregional Input-Output Model (ABMIOM) of the Russian economy and a small-size version of the Optimization Multiregional Input-Output Model (OMIOM) from the per-spective of their possible integration for spatial economic research. These models share many similar features, technically and conceptually. The two models regard the economy as a complex system of interdependent compo-nents; both have the same spatial and sectoral structure, similar production technologies. Both allow to perform a structural analysis of processes taking place in the economy in terms of industries and territories. The former is a simulation model, the latter is a linear optimization model; their major differ-ences relate to the methods of modeling the market and price mechanisms and of representing the space. We propose to use a spatial input-output model based on the real data as the source of disaggregated information at the stage of initialization of agent-based models, which opens opportunities of gradual turning them into an experimentation area for the real economy, rather than an instrument for an analysis of an artificial economy.

Проводится сопоставление агент-ориентированной многорегиональной модели «затраты выпуск» российской экономики и малоразмерной версией оптимизационной многорегиональной межотраслевой модели с точки зрения возможности их интеграции для исследований пространственной экономики. Эти модели имеют много схожих черт как на техническом, так и на содержательном уровне. Обе модели разделяют взгляд на экономику как на сложную систему с взаимозависимыми частями; имеют одинаковую пространственную и отраслевую структуру, технологии производства. Обе модели позволяют проводить структурный анализ происходящих в экономике процессов, как в отраслевом, так и в пространственном разрезе. Первая модель является имитационной, вторая линейной оптимизационной; их главные отличия относятся к способам моделирования рыночных и ценовых механизмов и представления пространства. Использование пространственной модели «затраты выпуск», построенной на отчетных данных как источника дезагрегированной информации на этапе инициализации агент-ориентированной модели открывает перспективы постепенного превращения ее из инструмента анализа искусственной экономики в экспериментальный полигон реальной экономики.

Keywords

АГЕНТ-ОРИЕНТИРОВАННАЯ МОДЕЛЬ,ТАБЛИЦА "ЗАТРАТЫ ВЫПУСК",МЕЖРЕГИОНАЛЬНЫЕ СВЯЗИ,AGENT-BASED MODEL,INPUT OUTPUT TABLE,INTERREGIONAL LINKS

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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