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ИССЛЕДОВАНИЕ ПРОЦЕССОВ ПОСТРОЕНИЯ МОДЕЛЕЙ ГРУППОВЫХ ЭТАЛОНОВ

ИССЛЕДОВАНИЕ ПРОЦЕССОВ ПОСТРОЕНИЯ МОДЕЛЕЙ ГРУППОВЫХ ЭТАЛОНОВ

Abstract

The systems, where the dimensionality of the observation vector is less than the dimensionality of the state vector are called underdetermined. The authors propose to use state vector predictions calculated at the previous cycle of measuring information processing in order to improve its estimates precision. The paper studies the processes of building predictive models when the initial time series (a training set) are not available for the researcher.

Недоопределенными называются системы, в которых размерность вектора наблюдений меньше размерности вектора состояния. Для повышения точности оценок вектора состояния таких систем можно использовать его прогнозы, вычисляемые на предыдущих тактах обработки измерительной информации. В работе исследуются процессы построения прогнозирующих моделей, когда исходных временных рядов (обучающая выборка) нет в распоряжении исследователя.

Keywords

НЕДООПРЕДЕЛЕННЫЕ СИСТЕМЫ, ИДЕНТИФИКАЦИЯ, ПРОГНОЗИРУЮЩИЕ МОДЕЛИ, ПРОЦЕССЫ АВТОРЕГРЕССИИ, КРИТЕРИИ АДЕКВАТНОСТИ, ВРЕМЕННЫЕ РЯДЫ, ОПТИМИЗАЦИЯ

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold