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Прогнозирование отказов сельских распределительных сетей напряжением 10 кВ (на примере филиала восточных электрических сетей ОАО «ИЭСК»)

descriptionPublicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article 01 Jan 2011 Russian Publisher:Федеральное государственное образовательное учреждение высшего профессионального образования Алтайский государственный аграрный университетJournal:Вестник Алтайского государственного аграрного университета (issn: 1996-4277, Copyright policy )

Прогнозирование отказов сельских распределительных сетей напряжением 10 кВ (на примере филиала восточных электрических сетей ОАО «ИЭСК»)

Abstract

Предложен алгоритм прогнозирования количества отказов различных элементов сельских распределительных сетей 10 кВ. Рассмотрен пример использования данного алгоритма для прогнозирования отказов по причине повреждения проводов воздушных линий 10 кВ. В результате сравнения прогнозных и реальных данных определена ошибка прогноза, которая говорит о применимости предложенного алгоритма при составлении прогнозов.

Keywords

ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ, НАДЁЖНОСТЬ, ЭЛЕКТРИЧЕСКИЕ СЕТИ, ВОЗДУШНЫЕ ЛИНИИ ЭЛЕКТРОПЕРЕДАЧИ, ПРОВОДА, ОТКАЗЫ, ОБСЛУЖИВАНИЕ, ОШИБКА ПРОГНОЗА

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Powered by OpenAIRE graph
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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold