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Обоснование методического подхода к оценке стоимости фармацевтической компании

Обоснование методического подхода к оценке стоимости фармацевтической компании

Abstract

The paper proposes a methodological approach to value assessment of a pharmaceutical company on the basis of the economic value added (EVA) concept. The concept enables not only to fix the current values of a company's assets, investment costs and expectations of its investors, but also to take into account the macro-economic situation in the market and the specifics of the pharmaceutical industry. The identified specifics of the global pharmaceutical market, such as high concentration in the industry, a high degree of capital-intensive and science-driven innovation, low price elasticity of demand for major products, the blockbuster and generic business models domination in the market, and highly regulated industry environment enabled to formulate a hypothesis of the research about positive impact of a pharmaceutical company’s R&D costs and the cost of the patents and goodwill that are recorded on the balance sheet, on the company’s market value. The regression analysis based on the sample of Top-20 largest global pharmaceutical companies of the industry for 2013 enabled to build and evaluate several regression models, where EVA indicator acted as a dependent variable, and the components forming NOPAT, IC and WACC, acted as explanatory variables. The analysis results provided support for the hypothesis at the 5% significance level at the determination factor of 0.7148. Having an effect on the identified key cost factors, a pharmaceutical company’s management is able to exercise strategic control over the modern business, to increase investment attractiveness and competitiveness in the global market.

В статье предложен методический подход к оценке стоимости фармацевтической компании, основанный на концепции добавленной экономической стоимости, позволяющий не только фиксировать текущую цену активов компании, инвестиционных затрат и ожиданий ее инвесторов, но и учитывать макроэкономическую ситуацию на рынке и специфику отрасли. Выявленные особенности мирового фармацевтического рынка (сильная концентрация отраслевой среды, высокая степень капиталои наукоемкости инноваций, низкая ценовая эластичность спроса на основную массу продукции, доминирование на рынке блокбастерной и дженерической бизнес-моделей, высокая степень регулируемости отраслевой среды) позволили сформулировать гипотезу исследования о положительном влиянии на рыночную стоимость фармацевтической компании величины ее затрат на R&D, а также стоимости находящихся на ее балансе патентов и гудвилла. Регрессионный анализ, проведенный по выборке Top-20 крупнейших компаний глобальной фармацевтической отрасли за 2013 г., позволил построить и провести оценку нескольких регрессионных моделей, в которых зависимой переменной выступал показатель добавленной экономической стоимости, а объясняющими переменными компоненты, образующие NOPAT, IС и WACC. Результаты анализа на 5%-ном уровне значимости с коэффициентом детерминации, равным 0,7148, подтвердили выдвинутую гипотезу. Воздействуя на выявленные ключевые факторы стоимости, менеджмент фармацевтической компании получает возможность осуществлять стратегическое управление современным бизнесом, наращивая инвестиционную привлекательность и конкурентоспособность на глобальном рынке.

Keywords

ФАРМАЦЕВТИЧЕСКАЯ ОТРАСЛЬ,PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY,КОНЦЕПЦИЯ УПРАВЛЕНИЯ СТОИМОСТЬЮ,VALUE-BASED MANAGEMENT,ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКАЯ ДОБАВЛЕННАЯ СТОИМОСТЬ,ECONOMIC VALUE ADDED,КЛЮЧЕВЫЕ ФАКТОРЫ СТОИМОСТИ,KEY VALUE DRIVERS

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
bronze