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Математическая модель определения параметров кредитования российских предприятий при становлении долгосрочного равновесия

Математическая модель определения параметров кредитования российских предприятий при становлении долгосрочного равновесия

Abstract

Внешнеэкономическая и политическая дестабилизация в России в конце 2014 – начале 2015 годов в значительной мере повлияла на рынок кредитования. Высокая волатильность рубля и рост величины ключевой ставки заставили финансовые учреждения сократить объемы выдаваемых кредитов. Сейчас, в условиях стабилизации экономической ситуации в стране, кредитные организации вновь начинают борьбу за долю платежеспособного спроса на рынке. Решающим в такой борьбе является предложение условий кредитования, совокупно выгодных для заемщика и кредитора в данный момент времени. Поэтому финансовым учреждениям важно отслеживать во времени процесс изменения спроса и предложения в условиях стабилизации экономической ситуации, когда отсутствуют внешние экономические изменения, а рынок кредитования преодолевает изменения на фоне прошлых «сотрясений». В статье предложена динамическая модель расчета ставки и величины кредита, позволяющая определить разновременные равновесные состояния на рынке кредитования в процессе становления долгосрочного равновесия. Использование данной модели позволит финансовым учреждениям прогнозировать равновесные значения ставки и величины кредита в долгосрочной перспективе, а значит повысить свою конкурентоспособность.

Foreign economic and political destabilization in Russia at the end 2014 in early 2015 has affected to the lending market. The high volatility of the ruble and the rise of the key rate have led to reduction of loans by financial institutions. Now days, in economic stabilization way, banks aims to attract solvent customers. The aim can be achieved through method which one allows to find favorable amount of lending and lone rate for both of lender and borrower. Therefore controlling of supply and demand changes is important for financial institution, especially in the way of economic stabilization, when external economic changes are absent and lending market goes through changes in the past. In the article dynamic model of lending amount and lone rate calculating is proposed. Through this model is possible to determine balance point for each discrete moment by the way of long-term equilibrium formation at the lending market. Usage this model by financial institutions is allows to predict long-term balance value of lending amount and lone rate. It will helps to increase the competitiveness of credit organization.

Keywords

ДОЛГОСРОЧНОЕ РАВНОВЕСИЕ, ФИНАНСОВОЕ СОСТОЯНИЕ ПРЕДПРИЯТИЯ, ВЕЛИЧИНА КРЕДИТА, ПРОЦЕНТНАЯ СТАВКА ПО КРЕДИТУ, ТОЧКА РАВНОВЕСИЯ, ФУНКЦИЯ СПРОСА, ФУНКЦИЯ ПРЕДЛОЖЕНИЯ, ЛИНЕЙНОЕ ОДНОРОДНОЕ РАЗНОСТНОЕ УРАВНЕНИЕ, КРАЕВАЯ ЗАДАЧА

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold