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Модель рациональных ожиданий и возможности ее использования в управлении современными аэропортами

Модель рациональных ожиданий и возможности ее использования в управлении современными аэропортами

Abstract

Цель: описание модели рациональных ожиданий и анализ возможностей ее использования в стратегическом управлении аэропортовыми комплексами. Метод: абстрактно-логический. Результаты: Развитие аэропорта (аэропортового комплекса) заключается в его движении по кривой жизненного цикла в определенном промежутке времени. Менеджмент аэропортового комплекса направлен на увеличение промежутка времени нахождения предприятия в той стадии, которая обеспечивает ему высокую устойчивость, или, наоборот, планирует уменьшить промежуток времени, снижая тем самым вероятность появления негативных последствий, что отражается в разрабатываемых экономических стратегиях. Рассматривая же деятельность аэропортов как сложную экономическую систему, мы приходим к выводу, что ее развитие связано со стратегическими решениями в сфере экономики и финансов, которые определяются рядом детерминант, влияющих на развитие всего аэропортового комплекса. Научная новизна: рассмотрена проблема управления аэропортовым комплексом в условиях рациональных ожиданий. Выявлено, что рациональные ожидания являются основой для принятия стратегических решений по управлению аэропортовыми комплексами; приведена факторная модель, описывающая рациональные и нерациональные ожидания субъектов управления аэропортом. Практическая значимость: проявляется в возможности внедрения модели рационных ожиданий в управление аэропортовыми комплексами.

Objective: description of the rational expectations model and analysis of possibilities to use it in strategic management of airport complexes. Method: abstract-logical. Results: Development of an airport (airport complex) is in its progressing along the lifecycle curve during a certain period. Airport complex management is aimed at increasing the period when the enterprise is stable, or, vise versa, at reducing the period to decrease the probability of negative circumstances, which is reflected in the elaborated economic strategies. Viewing the airports’ activity as a complex economic system, we conclude that its development is connected with the strategic solutions in the sphere of economy and finance determined by a number of factors influencing the development of the airport complex as a whole. Scientific novelty: The issue of airport complex management under rational expectations is viewed. It is revealed that rational expectations serve as a basis for making strategic decisions in airport complexes management; the factor model is given, which describes rational and irrational expectations of subjects of airport management. Practical value: possibility to implement the rational expectations model in airport complex management.

Keywords

ОЖИДАНИЕ,РАЦИОНАЛЬНОСТЬ,ВРЕМЯ,УПРАВЛЕНИЕ,АЭРОПОРТ (АЭРОПОРТОВЫЙ КОМПЛЕКС)

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold