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Вестник университета
Article . 2016
Data sources: CyberLeninka - Russian open access scientific library
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СУЩЕСТВУЮЩИЕ ПОДХОДЫ И МЕТОДЫ ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯ СПРОСА НА КОНТЕЙНЕРНЫЕ ПЕРЕВОЗКИ

descriptionPublicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article 01 Jan 2016 Russian Publisher:Федеральное государственное бюджетное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Государственный университет управления»Journal:Вестник университета (issn: 1816-4277, Copyright policy )

СУЩЕСТВУЮЩИЕ ПОДХОДЫ И МЕТОДЫ ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯ СПРОСА НА КОНТЕЙНЕРНЫЕ ПЕРЕВОЗКИ

Abstract

Рассмотрены методические принципы анализа объекта прогнозирования. Проанализированы основные подходы к прогнозированию: исторический, системный и комплексный. Выделены три основные группы методов прогнозирования: экспертные (интуитивные), формализованные и комбинированные.

The methodical principles of the analysis of the object of forecasting are considered. The main approaches to forecasting (historical, system and complex ) are analysed. Three main groups of methods of forecasting are allocated: expert (intuitive), formalized and combined.

Keywords

МЕТОДЫ И ПОДХОДЫ ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯ,ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКОЕ ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ,СОЦИАЛЬНО-ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКАЯ ЖИЗНЬ

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold