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Моделирование параметров денежных потоков при изменении их темпов роста и коэффициентов дисконтирования

Моделирование параметров денежных потоков при изменении их темпов роста и коэффициентов дисконтирования

Abstract

Для оценки стоимости бизнеса авторами использованы новые показатели единичные мультипликаторы коэффициентов дисконтирования и темпов роста денежных потоков, позволившие абстрагироваться от реальных значений денежных потоков и свести задачу моделирования их изменений к функции трех переменных: темпы роста денежных потоков, коэффициент дисконтирования и количество периодов прогнозного планирования. Выявленные в процессе моделирования денежных потоков в постпрогнозном периоде возможные аномально большие значения (и погрешности расчета) стоимости в этом периоде и введенное авторами новое понятие «мультипликатор Гордона» позволили минимизировать погрешности расчета значений итоговой стоимости.

In work new indicators individual multiples discount rates and the rates of increase are used, allowed to abstract from real values of monetary streams and to reduce a problem of modeling of their changes to function of three variables: rates of increase monetary on-currents, factor of discounting and quantity of the periods of look-ahead planning. Identified in the process of modeling cash flows for the period postlook-ahead period possible anomalously large (and calculation error) value in this period and the authors introduced a new concept of « Gordons animator» helped to minimize the error of calculating the values of the total cost.

Keywords

ОЦЕНКА СТОИМОСТИ БИЗНЕСА, КОЭФФИЦИЕНТ ДИСКОНТИРОВАНИЯ, ПРОГНОЗНАЯ СТОИМОСТЬ, ТЕРМИНАЛЬНАЯ СТОИМОСТЬ, ИТОГОВАЯ СТОИМОСТЬ, МУЛЬТИПЛИКАТОРЫ, ДЕНЕЖНЫЕ ПОТОКИ

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold