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Роль природно-климатических и экологических факторов в возникновении неотложных состояний сердечно-сосудистой системы: анализ временного ряда

Роль природно-климатических и экологических факторов в возникновении неотложных состояний сердечно-сосудистой системы: анализ временного ряда

Abstract

Проведен анализ временного ряда обращаемости за скорой медицинской помощью (СМП) в связи с сердечно-сосудистыми заболеваниями (ССЗ) в условиях северного промышленного города. Для анализа использован метод авторегрессии проинтегрированной скользящей средней ARIMA (7,0,0). В ходе анализа временного ряда составлена модель, позволяющая прогнозировать изменение обращаемости за СМП в связи с ССЗ при комбинированном воздействии погодных факторов (температура воздуха, скорость ветра, относительная влажность) и загрязнения атмосферы среднесуточными концентрациями диоксида серы с учетом предыдущих уровней обращаемости

An analysis of the time series of appealability for emergency medical assistance (EMA) in connection with cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in conditions of the northern industrial town has been done. For the analysis, the regression method ARIMA (7,0,0; 0,0,0) was used. A model has been created that allowed to prognosticate changes in appealability for EMA in connection with CVD under combined influence of weather factors (air temperature, wind velocity, relative humidity) and air pollution with mean daily concentrations of sulphur dioxide taking into account previous levels of appealability.

Keywords

МЕТЕОФАКТОРЫ, ЗАГРЯЗНЕНИЕ АТМОСФЕРНОГО ВОЗДУХА, ОБРАЩАЕМОСТЬ ЗА СКОРОЙ МЕДИЦИНСКОЙ ПОМОЩЬЮ, СЕРДЕЧНОСОСУДИСТЫЕ ЗАБОЛЕВАНИЯ

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold