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Методи визначення ставок дисконту та капіталізації для оцінки нерухомості, адекватних ринковим умовам

Методи визначення ставок дисконту та капіталізації для оцінки нерухомості, адекватних ринковим умовам

Abstract

The existent methods of determination of the discount and capitalization rates for the valuation of the profitable real estate are analyzed from point of their prevalence, advantages and lacks of application. The alternative methods for setting the discount rates are selected (Galasyuk"s method). There are resulted recommendations in relation to approaching calculated size of the discount and capitalization rates to the real market information. In particular, expansion of the use of actually attained level of the expected return on the invested capital is offered. The actual values of capitalization rates on the office, commercial, ware-house real estate market in the capital of Ukraine are examined for period from 2008 to 2013, which evidence of considerable changeability of investment return indexes. There is confirmed the necessity of increasing the size of corrections in supply price to the level 18-20% for calculation of the capitalization rates after the method of market extraction. There is also propagates the account of additional market factors at the construction of recapitalization rates after the Invud"s method: annual growth (decline) of leasing rates that are obtained from the profit real estate object annual growth (decline) of cost of the real property object a percent of diminishing of cost of the real estate object in result of all kinds of depreciation (when residual value differ from a zero).

Проанализированы существующие методы определения ставок дисконта и капитализации для оценки доходной недвижимости с точки зрения их распространенности, преимуществ и недостатков использования. Выделены альтернативные методы определения ставок дисконта (метод Галасюка). Приведены рекомендации относительно приближения расчетных значений ставок дисконта и капитализации к реальным рыночным данным. Предложено, в частности, расширение использования фактических данных относительно уровня ожидаемой отдачи на вложенный капитал. Приведены фактические данные по ставкам капитализации для рынка офисной, коммерческой, складской недвижимости столицы Украины за период с 2008 по 2013 гг., свидетельствующие о значительной волатильности показателей инвестиционной отдачи. Обоснована необходимость повышения размера корректировок цены предложения до уровня 18 – 20% при расчете ставок капитализации по методу рыночной экстракции. Пропагандируется учет дополнительных рыночных факторов при построении ставок рекапитализации по методу Инвуда, а именно: ежегодные темпы прироста (снижения) арендного дохода от недвижимости ежегодные темпы прироста (снижения) цены объекта недвижимости процент снижения цены объекта недвижимости вследствие износа по всем причинам (отличающийся от полного износа за весь период использования).

Keywords

оцінка нерухомості дохідний підхід ставка дисконтування ставка капіталізації очікувана ставка дохідності на вкладений капітал, оценка недвижимости доходный поход ставка дисконтирования ставка капитализации ожидаемая ставка доходности на вложенный капитал

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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