Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback

ВЕРОЯТНОСТНОЕ ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ КАК ВИД ПРОГНОСТИЧЕСКОЙ ДЕЯТЕЛЬНОСТИ: ПОДХОД И СТРАТЕГИИ

ВЕРОЯТНОСТНОЕ ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ КАК ВИД ПРОГНОСТИЧЕСКОЙ ДЕЯТЕЛЬНОСТИ: ПОДХОД И СТРАТЕГИИ

Abstract

В статье рассматриваются феномен прогнозирования и подходы к его пониманию. Анализируются родственные для прогнозирования понятия: предвидение, антиципационная состоятельность. Особое внимание уделяется стратегиям вероятностного прогнозирования (рефлекторно-бессознательное, интеллектуально-логическое, интуитивное, прогнозирование в особых состояниях сознания).The article deals with the phenomenon of forecasting, as well as approaches to its understanding. Under examination are forecast-related concepts: prediction and anticipation viability. Special attention is paid to the strategies of probabilistic forecasting (reflex and unconscious forecasting, intellectually-logical forecasting, intuitive forecasting, forecasting in special states of consciousness).

Keywords

ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ,ПРЕДВИДЕНИЕ,ВЕРОЯТНОСТНОЕ ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ,АНТИЦИПАЦИОННАЯ СОСТОЯТЕЛЬНОСТЬ,СПОСОБНОСТЬ К ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЮ,ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ РЕФЛЕКТОРНО-БЕССОЗНАТЕЛЬНОЕ,ИНТЕЛЛЕКТУАЛЬНО-ЛОГИЧЕСКОЕ,ИНТУИТИВНОЕ,ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ В ОСОБЫХ СОСТОЯНИЯХ СОЗНАНИЯ,ДЕЯТЕЛЬНОСТЬ,FORECASTING,PREDICTION,PROBABILISTIC FORECASTING,ANTICIPATION VIABILITY,ABILITY TO FORECAST,REFLEX AND UNCONSCIOUS FORECASTING,INTELLECTUALLY-LOGICAL,INTUITIVE,FORECASTING IN SPECIAL STATES OF CONSCIOUSNESS,ACTIVITY

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    selected citations
    These citations are derived from selected sources.
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    0
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
Powered by OpenAIRE graph
Found an issue? Give us feedback
selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average