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Прогнозирование валютных курсов с использованием методов статистики

Прогнозирование валютных курсов с использованием методов статистики

Abstract

Статья посвящена теоретическим аспектам анализа валютных курсов с помощью методов прикладной статистики, используемых в современном анализе биржевых операций.Представленный материал носит обзорно-описательный характер, причем основной акцент сосредоточен на вопросах технической стороны анализа. Вниманием не обделены и другие аспекты валютного анализа, такие как анализ экономических циклов, анализ политической ситуации.В работе обоснована актуальность использования статистических методов в сфере финансов как в мире, так и в России. Основной вопрос, обсуждаемый в работе,возможность применения статистических методов в обстановке кризиса, их практическая эффективность.В работе описаны как классические методы статистического анализа, так и малоизвестные, новейшие методы, используемые при анализе конъюнктуры финансового рынка.The article is devoted to theoretical aspects of the analysis of exchange rates, methods of applied statistics used in modern analysis of stock exchange transactions.The material presented is an overview and descriptive, with the main emphasis focused on the issues of the technical side of the analysis. Moreover, attention was paid to other aspects of the monetary analysis, such as the analysis of economic cycles, the analysis of the political situation.In the work the urgency of using statistical methods in fi e both in the world and in Russia. The main issues discussed in the paper to apply statistical methods in a crisis, their effectiveness in practice.The author describes the classical methods of statistical analysis, and little-known, the latest methods used in the analysis of financial market conditions.

Keywords

АНАЛИЗ,ANALYSIS,ВАЛЮТНЫЕ КУРСЫ,EXCHANGE RATES,МЕТОДЫ СТАТИСТИКИ,STATISTICAL METHODS,КРИЗИС,CRISIS,АКТУАЛЬНОСТЬ ИНФОРМАЦИИ,RELEVANCE OF INFORMATION,ТЕХНИЧЕСКИЙ АНАЛИЗ,TECHNICAL ANALYSIS,ФУНДАМЕНТАЛЬНЫЙ АНАЛИЗ,FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS,ЭФФЕКТИВНОСТЬ,EFFICIENCY,ПОЛЕЗНОСТЬ,ДОСТОВЕРНОСТЬ,RELIABILITY,UTILITY

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average