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Testing Fisher Hypothesis from Japanese Interest Rate Swap Market

Testing Fisher Hypothesis from Japanese Interest Rate Swap Market

Abstract

This paper investigates the validity of the Fisher hypothesis from the Japanese interest rate swap market by using non-stationary time series models. The data used for the analysis are confirmed to be I(1) by unit root tests. From the tests of cointegration and cointegration vector, I can conclude that the Fisher hypothesis doesn't hold in the long term interest rates of 2 years, 3 years, 4 years, 5 years, 7 years and 10 years from October 1987 through June 2006. This result isn't surprising since the sample period includes deflationary period when inflation rates were negative and the nominal interest rates decreased to historical low level.

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average