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European Heart Journal
Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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Cytosolic calcium handling signature: integration with clinical predictors enhances prediction of post-operative atrial fibrillation

integration with clinical predictors enhances prediction of post-operative atrial fibrillation
Authors: Funsho E Fakuade; Judith Gronwald; Paulina Brandes; Yannic Döring; Tony Rubio; Fitzwilliam Seibertz; Maria Knierim; +12 Authors

Cytosolic calcium handling signature: integration with clinical predictors enhances prediction of post-operative atrial fibrillation

Abstract

Abstract Background and Aims Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a prevalent complication after cardiac surgery, worsening patient outcomes. Considering the established role of Ca2+-handling abnormalities in AF pathogenesis, this study aimed to evaluate if integrating cytosolic Ca2+-handling measurements with clinical risk factors enhances the risk prediction of post-operative AF. Methods Clinical data from 558 patients undergoing cardiac surgery without pre-existing AF from two centres were analysed. From 94 of these patients, atrial cardiomyocytes were isolated from collected right atrial appendages and Ca2+ handling (L-type Ca2+ current, intracellular Ca2+ concentration) was assessed using patch-clamp. The predictive performance of combining both clinical and single-cell Ca2+ handling parameters was tested using sequential feature selection and logistic regression models. Results Single-cell Ca2+-handling parameters through cluster analysis correlated with post-operative AF development and several cardiac diseases. Integration of Ca2+-handling parameters into a new post-operative AF risk prediction model improved its predictive accuracy by increasing the areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves from 0.69 to 0.71 in the training and 0.76 to 0.79 in the validation cohort. Systolic Ca2+ level, along with clinical parameters such as age, left atrial dilatation, valvular heart disease, impaired renal function, and serum magnesium, was identified as an independent risk factor for post-operative AF. Additionally, a predictive score for AF occurrence at discharge and during rehabilitation has been developed, with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.84 and 0.71, respectively. Incorporating the occurrence of AF during the immediate post-operative period as an additional predictor significantly enhanced the prediction of AF at discharge, achieving an AUC value of 0.94. Conclusions Integrating cellular Ca2+ handling signature with clinical predictors improves the prediction of post-operative AF, highlighting the potential of incorporating functional cellular data into clinical risk models.

Keywords

Personalised medicine, Calcium handling, Cardiac surgery, Health data science, Post-operative atrial fibrillation, Prediction score

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
Green
hybrid