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Article . 2025 . Peer-reviewed
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METHODOLOGICAL ASPECTS OF CONSTRUCTING MATHEMATICAL MODELS FOR THE TEMPORARY CHARACTERISTICS OF THREATS OF THE ELECTROMAGNETIC EFFECTS ON COMPLEXES FOR PHYSICAL PROTECTING THE ARCTIC ZONE MARINE PORTS

МЕТОДИЧЕСКИЕ АСПЕКТЫ ПОСТРОЕНИЯ МАТЕМАТИЧЕСКИХ МОДЕЛЕЙ ВРЕМЕННЫХ ХАРАКТЕРИСТИК УГРОЗ ЭЛЕКТРОМАГНИТНОГО ВОЗДЕЙСТВИЯ НА КОМПЛЕКСЫ ФИЗИЧЕСКОЙ ЗАЩИТЫ МОРСКИХ ПОРТОВ АРКТИЧЕСКОЙ ЗОНЫ
Authors: Mikhail P. Sychev; Alexander V. Krupenin; Artyom M. Sychev; Evgeny A. Storozhuk; Timofey B. Khodyrev; Alexey S. Milov;

METHODOLOGICAL ASPECTS OF CONSTRUCTING MATHEMATICAL MODELS FOR THE TEMPORARY CHARACTERISTICS OF THREATS OF THE ELECTROMAGNETIC EFFECTS ON COMPLEXES FOR PHYSICAL PROTECTING THE ARCTIC ZONE MARINE PORTS

Abstract

The relevance of the problem of physical protection of ports along the Northern Sea Route is noted, where berths for vessels with nuclear power installations are located. The specifics of implementing the physical protection function for such facilities using automated physical protection complexes (PPC) are considered. The vulnerabilities of information in the end devices of such automated systems to threats from electromagnetic interference (EMI) on their hardware base are substantiated. The functional model of the objective function ‘Violation of the security regime of a seaport through EMI on its PPC’ is analyzed as a tool for formalizing such threats, with the aim of constructing analytical models to assess the time characteristics of the implementation of individual stages of this objective function and the objective function as a whole. Corresponding expressions relevant to these models are provided. The developed methodological framework allows for a quantitative assessment of the intruder's capabilities using EMI on PPC with the aim of creating conditions for penetration into the protected area. By correlating the obtained assessments with the capabilities for implementing countermeasures against such threats, it is possible to develop mathematical models of the effectiveness characteristics of these measures. In turn, based on such models, there is an opportunity for a scientific justification of the requirements for the methods and means for physical protecting the Arctic zone seaports.

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Keywords

Information theory, arctic zone of the russian federation, northern sea route, protection of specially protected objects, electromagnetic impact, vulnerability of automated systems, physical protection complex, mathematical model of intruder actions., Information technology, Q350-390, T58.5-58.64

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
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