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Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
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Development of an economic­mathematical model to determine the optimal duration of project operations

Authors: Chaikovska, Inna; Chaikovskyi, Maksym;

Development of an economic­mathematical model to determine the optimal duration of project operations

Abstract

Planning the duration of works in order to optimize the implementation time is an important component of an efficient company’s project management. The optimization economic-mathematical model for determining the duration of implementation of project stages was created in the research. The objective function is the maximization of the probability of successful project implementation and generation of new organizational knowledge at each stage. The model assumes that the sum of the duration of project stages should not exceed the specified project duration. The model assumes that the following stage can begin after the previous one at the probability of task implementation and generation of new knowledge of the previous one at the level that is not below the established one. The model takes into account that the combination with the minimal total project duration and with minimal costs for realization are chosen from the possible combinations of the durations of project stages. The model involves the use of combinatorics elements to determine the possible combinations of the duration of stages. In addition, the experts’ knowledge and the direct estimation method were used to determine the weight factors of the project stages. The total probability of successful project implementation was determined as the sum of probabilities of successful realization of tasks and generation of new knowledge at each project stage, taking into consideration the corresponding weight factors. Practical implementation of the model was carried out for the project of development, content creation, and implementation of the information system and the database for the management of activity of the regional center of physical education of school youth lasting 10 months. The project consists of three stages: designing, development and testing, and implementation. It was established that the following duration of the project stages will be optimal: stage 1 – 4 months, stage 2 – 5 months, stage 3 – 1 month. At this distribution of time, the probability of successful project implementation is 0.81, costs are USD 5,440. The created model can be used for any enterprise with the purpose of planning the duration of the project works and its successful implementation within the set period

Keywords

UDC 331.101.262:330.46, project duration; optimization model; economic-mathematical model; company knowledge management., продолжительность проекта; оптимизационная модель; экономико-математическая модель; управление знаниями предприятия, тривалість проєкту; оптимізаційна модель; економіко-математична модель; управління знаннями підприємства

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selected citations
These citations are derived from selected sources.
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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